Democrats flip solidly crimson state Senate seat blue—for first time ever

Democrats on Tuesday lodged a large upset in a Republican-held state Senate district in Pennsylvania, flipping a seat that Donald Trump carried by 15 factors and sending a large warning signal to Republicans that the 2026 midterms might be brutal for his or her get together.

Democratic nominee James Andrew Malone, mayor of East Petersburg, defeated Republican Josh Parsons, 50-49, to turn into the primary Democrat to ever win this seat in Lancaster County, in accordance to the Downballot.

Malone gained by focusing the race on co-President Elon Musk, whose damaging effort to downsize the federal authorities is extraordinarily unpopular and hurting vital authorities capabilities like Social Safety advantages, climate reporting, medical analysis, public well being and extra.

Malone advised Lancaster On-line within the days earlier than the election that his marketing campaign was listening to “concerns from thousands of voters over Musk’s work with the Trump administration to reshape the federal government.”

“Josh Parsons might be OK with that but I’m not,” Malone advised the outlet. “On Tuesday, you’ll get to make the choice between more Musk, or Lancaster values.”

Earlier than the election, right-wing activist Scott Presler—who helped Trump’s marketing campaign within the state in 2024—was sounding alarm bells concerning the race.

“Pennsylvania, we are currently losing this special election. The democrats could potentially flip this State Senate seat from [Red to Blue],” Presler wrote in a submit on X on March 20. “I’m very disappointed that Republicans aren’t taking special elections seriously. I can’t do everything.”

And after the GOP formally misplaced the race on Tuesday, he tweeted: “I asked for help in Pennsylvania & no one helped us. 482 votes,” referring to the margin of the Democratic win within the contest.

The GOP loss might be a canary within the coal mine for Republicans in vital upcoming elections in Florida, the place two particular elections will likely be held to fill the vacant seats of former Reps. Matt Gaetz, who resigned Congress in shame, and Mike Waltz, who resigned to turn into CIA director.

Republicans had been already anxious concerning the race to interchange the now beleaguered Waltz, because the Republican nominee is being badly outraised and early turnout seems to be robust for Democrats. 

And Republicans had been expressing these fears earlier than the 16-point shift within the Pennsylvania state Senate race.

Like Malone, the Democratic nominee in that Florida race, Josh Weil, is making Musk a key matter.

“Elon Musk wants you to believe Social Security is a Ponzi scheme. Maybe that’s what happens when you spend too much time around real ones,” Weil wrote in a submit on X. “It’s only a Ponzi scheme if they take away all of the money you invested in it.” 

Finally, particular elections have been going properly for Democrats after Trump’s unlucky win in 2024.

Democrats overperformed in two state legislative races in Virginia in January, earlier than Trump even took workplace. And later in January, after Trump took workplace, Democrats flipped a state Senate seat in a deep crimson district in Iowa.

Particular election efficiency is a good indicator for the way profitable a celebration will likely be in an upcoming election. Forward of the 2018 midterms, Democrats had been posting robust particular election performances earlier than they went on to submit sweeping Home victories to retake management of the chamber for the primary time in practically a decade.

Musk himself mentioned it greatest as he reacted to his get together’s Tuesday loss:

“Damn,” Musk wrote in a submit on X.

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