Join The Temporary, The Texas Tribune’s day by day e-newsletter that retains readers on top of things on essentially the most important Texas information.
The presidential election this 12 months will possible be determined by unbiased voters — these People who don’t solid ballots primarily based on loyalty to the two-party system.
This summer time, they got loads of political fodder to think about.
A gunman tried to assassinate former President Donald Trump, the Republican presidential nominee, at a July rally in Pennsylvania. Two weeks later, after stress from donors and fellow Democrats, President Joe Biden, who had gained his get together’s primaries with nearly no opposition, withdrew from the race and endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris.
In August, Harris gained the get together’s official nomination on the Democratic Nationwide Conference. If elected, she would be the nation’s first Black and South Asian girl to grow to be president.
The extraordinary occasions have left many citizens with whiplash. Republicans have been much more vocal with their assist of Trump after the assassination try. Democrats have rallied round Harris who has breathed life again into her get together’s hopes after Biden’s disastrous debate efficiency in opposition to Trump in late June.
However for many who don’t establish with Democrats or Republicans, the problems are extra nuanced.
In accordance with August polling, Trump leads amongst Texas’ unbiased voters by 2 share factors, a narrowing among the many key bloc since his 24-point leg up over Biden in June. Harris is gaining floor amongst ladies who’re unbiased voters, preferring her over Trump by a 6-point margin.
In Texas, voters don’t need to formally declare a celebration to solid a poll. They will vote in no matter major they select. The Texas Tribune spoke to a few of these voters who establish as independents in regards to the state of the race, who they count on to vote for and what points are most urgent to them.
Listed below are a number of of their tales.
Joanne Kropp, 68
Residence: Bryan
Occupation: retired
Who did you vote for in 2016? Donald Trump
Who did you vote for in 2020? Donald Trump
As a retiree, Joanne Kropp mentioned she has felt the pinch of inflation sorely. Each month, she finds herself dipping into her financial savings simply to make ends meet.
“It stinks,” she mentioned. “The inflation, it’s terrible.”
Kropp considers herself an unbiased voter with Libertarian tendencies – she usually opposes authorities regulation. However she’s voted in native elections for Democrats, and she or he as soon as solid her poll for former President Invoice Clinton. With the financial system as one in every of her prime points this 12 months, Kropp mentioned she’ll be voting for Trump. She’s postpone by the narrative of some Democrats that the financial system is powerful beneath Biden.
“It’s this whole ‘You don’t understand that the economy is good,’” she mentioned. “Well, I do understand that it’s not good for me and it’s not good for anybody I know.”
Throughout Trump’s 4 years in workplace, she mentioned, she didn’t discover herself penny pinching. She thinks his expertise as a businessman led to financial decision-making that helped the common American, together with extra lax guidelines on vitality manufacturing and enterprise deregulation. Kropp’s husband owned his personal pest management enterprise for 45 years and Kropp mentioned she noticed how deregulation helped small companies create jobs.
Kropp, who lived in El Paso for 40 years earlier than she moved to Bryan, mentioned one other of her prime points is immigration and the necessity to restrict the variety of individuals crossing the border with out authorization. With Trump, she mentioned, it felt just like the nation had a plan for easy methods to cease the excessive variety of border crossings, even when she didn’t all the time like how Trump talked about his insurance policies or the migrants.
“I was OK with his policies, I did not like his language,” she mentioned. “When he talks, I cringe.”
Kropp is essential of Harris for not shifting the ball on immigration throughout three and a half years beneath the Biden administration. Whereas Kropp praised Harris for trying to deal with the foundation causes of why individuals migrate from their houses she mentioned there hasn’t been sufficient motion from the vp.
“It was just a squandered opportunity,” she mentioned.
Kropp additionally is worried about international coverage. She thinks the following president must know easy methods to sq. off in opposition to Russian President Vladimir Putin, navigate the struggle in Gaza and tackle root causes of migration. Though Trump usually talks like an isolationist — and selected a vice presidential nominee who amplifies that worldview — she doesn’t desire a president who will flip his again on world affairs.
She feels assured Trump will handle worldwide relations effectively.
“He talks a good game [on isolationism],” Kropp mentioned. “But then he doesn’t do it.”
Dan O’Grady, 55
Residence: Houston
Occupation: monetary guide
Who did you vote for in 2016? Hillary Clinton
Who did you vote for in 2020? Joe Biden
Earlier than Biden dropped out of the race, Dan O’Grady deliberate to take a seat this election out.
He might by no means see himself voting for Trump. However Biden’s efficiency — even earlier than the presidential debate in June — had been so poor in his thoughts that O’Grady was not going to vote for him, both. He’d appreciated what the incumbent had achieved in workplace however he feared that his cognitive well being was deteriorating and didn’t suppose Biden might do the job for one more 4 years. So why wasn’t he stepping apart?
“I just wondered if this is the best [the Democrats] can do – offer this incapable, senile guy who had problems,” O’Grady mentioned. “If this is the best they can do, the U.S. deserves Trump and [I wasn’t] gonna vote.”
O’Grady is an unbiased who tends to vote for Democrats. However, he mentioned, he isn’t “progressive or woke,” he’s only a “middle of the road voter” who doesn’t wish to be “pushed upon by conservative policies” like Texas’ abortion ban, which he doesn’t assist.
His emotions about this 12 months’s presidential election modified with Biden’s withdrawal. He’s seen a renewed hope after the emergence of Harris because the Democratic nominee and has been heartened by the document donations that poured into her marketing campaign within the days instantly following the announcement of her candidacy.
O’Grady admits that he doesn’t know a lot about her besides that her run for the Democratic nomination in 2020 didn’t go effectively. However as he’s discovered extra, he’s appreciated her strategy to the financial system, which O’Grady thinks will profit the common employee greater than Trump’s insurance policies.
O’Grady’s massive situation is constant American democracy.
“I view Trump as a threat to democracy,” he mentioned. “For me the biggest issue is probably someone that will keep democracy alive.”
Diane Wright, 67
Residence: Flower Mound
Occupation: retired
Who did you vote for in 2016: Hillary Clinton
Who did you vote for in 2020: Donald Trump
Diane Wright just isn’t certain how she’s going to vote this November. She’d deliberate on casting a third-party vote for Robert F. Kennedy Jr. however has been at a loss since his withdrawal from the presidential race in August.
“The situation is still fresh for me and I’m kind of waiting to see what transpires,” she mentioned.
One factor is for certain – she is not going to be voting for Harris as a result of she thinks the Democratic Nationwide Committee actively obstructed Kennedy and compelled him to withdraw from the race.
“I’m very upset with the DNC,” she mentioned.
Politically, Wright was raised a Republican however finally turned an unbiased and began voting for some Democrats, together with Barack Obama in 2008. In recent times, nevertheless, she’s disassociated from the two-party system and has aligned herself with the Ahead Get together, which goals to scale back political polarization and reform elections.
“I want the two parties to go away,” she mentioned, including that she votes extra on a candidate’s place than get together affiliation.
Wright voted for Clinton in 2016 as a result of she was “more qualified than anybody I had ever had the opportunity to vote for.” However when Trump took workplace, Wright mentioned she was pleasantly shocked to see his dealing with of the financial system and international affairs and didn’t suppose he bought a good shake from the press. She mentioned she appreciated that Trump saved international leaders like Russia’s Vladimir Putin and North Korea’s Kim Jong Un in examine.
She mentioned she’s undecided if she might vote for Trump once more and is leaning towards a third-party candidate however she must see if there’s one that might align together with her values.
She supported Kennedy as a result of he advocated for coverage options that she thinks commonsense People who should not tied down by get together politics would get behind, like an strategy to immigration that might each assist some kind of border wall whereas on the similar time growing funding for immigration judges in order that asylum claims might be processed extra rapidly and folks might enter the nation legally.
She additionally appreciated Kennedy’s stance on abortion, that ladies ought to have a proper to an abortion “until a fetus is viable.” Wright mentioned that strikes a steadiness between permitting ladies management over their physique and the necessity for the nation to have extra kids.
She’s nonetheless making up her thoughts however mentioned the political discourse isn’t serving to.
“It’s hard right now because you’re not hearing policies or what they’re gonna do,” she mentioned. “All it is is attacks on each other.”
Stuart Streit, 29
Residence: Austin
Occupation: sports activities blogger
Who did you vote for in 2016? Gary Johnson, Libertarian Get together
Who did you vote for in 2020? Joe Biden
If the election had been held in the present day, Stuart Streit would vote for Chase Oliver, the Libertarian candidate.
He likes Oliver’s concentrate on free-market economics and his coverage positions of ending tariffs, ending certified immunity for law enforcement officials and discovering a path to citizenship for unauthorized immigrants who’re already within the nation.
He’s keen to entertain voting for Harris however want to hear extra about her coverage positions, particularly on the financial system. He’s involved about how Democrats discuss some points which might be essential to him, like taxes.
“I haven’t heard this from Harris yet but I’m a little wary about talk about a ‘wealth tax’ like [Sen. Elizabeth] Warren has talked about before,” he mentioned. “Even student loan [forgiveness] stuff – I totally get it, it sucks, but some of the way that’s being done ends up putting the burden on people who didn’t go to college to pay for those who did.”
On the political spectrum, he mentioned he’s a real unbiased who locations a robust emphasis on the outdated fiscal points professed by GOP stalwarts like Utah Sen. Mitt Romney, the Republican presidential nominee in 2012. He would in all probability vote for Romney in the present day, he mentioned, however he gained’t vote for Trump.
He mentioned Trump doesn’t comply with free market economics and thinks the Republican Get together has become a cult dedicated to him.
“His character feels like it disqualifies him for me – bragging about sexual assault,” he mentioned, referring to sizzling mic audio launched in 2016 during which Trump instructed a TV host that as a celeb he might seize ladies by their genitals. “That’s the first one that comes to mind for me, that Access Hollywood tape.”
However Streit doesn’t simply wish to give his vote away to Democrats as a result of he doesn’t like Trump. In 2020, he voted for Biden as a result of he felt the Democrat had a shot at flipping the state. Streit mentioned he doesn’t hear any of that enthusiasm this election cycle and as an alternative is contemplating utilizing his vote to register his displeasure with the candidates of each main events.
“It becomes a question of how do I express my beliefs even if it means supporting someone who I know is going to lose,” he mentioned.
Deron Patterson, 59
Residence: Dallas
Occupation: enterprise improvement within the glass business
How did you vote in 2016? Hilary Clinton
How did you vote in 2020? Joe Biden
Kennedy’s withdrawal hit Deron Patterson laborious.
“I couldn’t believe it. I went for a walk at 5 o’clock like a crazy person,” he mentioned. “It was 103 degrees but I just had to.”
Since final summer time, Patterson had been set on voting for the unbiased candidate for president. He was one of many RFK marketing campaign’s 40 official electors and had collected signatures to place the candidate on the Texas poll.
Patterson had lengthy been a progressive Democrat. He served as a Democratic precinct chair in Fort Bend County when it was former U.S. Home Majority Chief Tom Delay’s house district. In 2012, he stood at an intersection on Freeway 6 in Sugarland with an Obama poster, as a result of he’d heard 40,000 automobiles drove by there each day.
However he had an unbiased streak, supporting Ross Perot in 1992 after which Ralph Nader of the Inexperienced Get together in 2000.
He voted for Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders within the Democratic primaries in 2016 and 2020. However he was turned off by the get together after observing its lack of enthusiasm for progressive candidates like Sanders.
“The rich and the powerful don’t want a Socialist Democrat running who wants Medicare for All,” he mentioned.
When COVID-19 pressured everybody right into a lockdown in 2020, his rejection of the Democratic Get together was calcified after he began listening to Joe Rogan’s podcast, which his son had been recommending to him for years. On the podcast, Rogan, a comic and blended martial arts commentator, usually invitations controversial audio system to have free-flowing conversations and he has been criticized for spreading misinformation about vaccines. Rogan had Kennedy on the podcast in June 2023.
Patterson discovered Rogan’s podcast fascinating and loved the open discussions Rogan had together with his friends. He began in search of different “alternative” information sources, like Chris Hedges, a journalist and political activist who hosts a left-leaning YouTube podcast.
“I want more information,” he mentioned. “We should be independent and think and not have everybody tell us what to think.”
Now, he subscribes to Tucker Carlson’s new streaming community – one thing he by no means thought he’d do 5 years in the past. Carlson is a conservative political commentator who usually advocated for Trump and his insurance policies. He has been criticized for pushing conspiracy theories on his platform in regards to the FBI organizing the Jan. 6 assaults on the U.S. Capitol and for spreading misinformation on COVID-19.
“I started not watching just CNN and MSNBC and I started getting a diversity of opinions,” he mentioned. “And my politics [have] evolved.”
When Kennedy introduced he was working for president, his platform aligned with Patterson’s coverage stances: he wished to cease sending cash to Ukraine of their struggle in opposition to Russia, he was an environmentalist and he wished to push again in opposition to what he noticed as censorship by massive tech firms on social media platforms.
However now that Kennedy is out of the race, Patterson is at a loss. He gained’t vote for Trump, regardless of Kennedy’s endorsement, and he gained’t vote for Harris. He’s going to perform a little research on third-party candidates like Cornel West, who can also be working a quixotic marketing campaign for president.
“What will make up my mind?” he mentioned. “I don’t know. Probably the day before.”
Josh Fleming, 45
Residence: Livingston
Occupation: small enterprise proprietor
Who did you vote for in 2016? Donald Trump
Who did you vote for in 2020? Donald Trump
Josh Fleming mentioned he’s someplace between a Libertarian and a member of the Structure Get together, a conservative get together that goals to maintain the features of presidency to these spelled out within the Declaration of Independence, U.S. Invoice of Rights and the Structure.
However as a supporter of those third events, he acknowledges his candidates don’t stand an opportunity in a presidential race.
“The bottom line is it’s going to be a Democrat or Republican and for me it’s not even a question,” he mentioned.
He’ll be voting for Trump, similar to he did within the final two elections. Trump’s insurance policies simply align higher together with his values.
Fleming mentioned that even in his a part of East Texas, which is way nearer to the Louisiana border than the Mexican one, the impacts of document border crossings lately hit house.
Fleming is within the development enterprise and he mentioned he sees unscrupulous employers hiring unauthorized immigrants at cheaper charges than they’d pay U.S. residents. He feels for laborers and craftsmen who’re undercut by the decrease pay that many migrants are keen to take.
Beneath Trump, he mentioned, there was a plan for slowing the massive numbers of individuals crossing the southern border with out authorization.
Fleming additionally likes Trump’s financial insurance policies which lowered taxes on firms and quickly for people. These short-term tax cuts for people will likely be up in 2025. The identical invoice additionally did away with the person mandate of the Inexpensive Care Act, which Fleming appreciated as a result of it eased the burden on small companies.
Fleming mentioned that Trump will get a foul rap for favoring massive firms and companies, however the best way he sees it, Trump is “fighting for the little guy.”
“The four years he was in office, for me and my family it was probably the most prosperous in our times,” he mentioned. “And we’re not rich. We’re just regular middle class people.”
If the summer time spurred any change in his plan to vote, it solely reaffirmed his allegiance to Trump. Fleming thinks Trump is preventing “political machines” in each events and he didn’t like the best way Democrats changed their nominee a number of months earlier than the election.
“I was already able to see how corrupt the system is,” Fleming mentioned, “but the events of the summer made me want to vote for him more knowing that if the system hates him that much, then that made me really want to vote for him.”
Travis Ross, 44
Residence: Austin
Occupation: auto physique technician
Who did you vote for in 2016? Gary Johnson, Libertarian Get together candidate
Who did you vote for in 2020? Joe Biden
Travis Ross voted begrudgingly for Biden in 2020, simply to get Trump out of the White Home.
He hoped that Biden could be a transitional chief who would go the baton to a brand new technology after one time period. So when Biden determined to run once more, Ross was not comfortable.
He was additionally unappeased by Biden’s determination to withdraw from the race in July, anointing Harris as his successor. He wished Biden had made the choice sooner and felt that his vote within the Democratic major – for Marianne Williamson – was wasted.
Now that Trump and Harris have grow to be the get together’s respective nominees, Ross thinks he doesn’t have a lot of a alternative. He doesn’t wish to vote for Trump – he feels that his supporters hearken to and consider each phrase he says with out questioning it, which worries him. However he appears like Harris and the Democrats went across the established election course of to pick out her because the get together’s nominee.
Ross is anxious about corruption in politics and says that lobbying performs too massive of a task, slicing out the common American, and giving the rich and the politicians extra benefits.
He doesn’t know a lot about Harris’ insurance policies. He thinks she’s good and he’s leaning towards voting for her however needs to be taught extra.
“I’d like to see a couple of debates and some people actually be serious politicians and not just clowns trying to get elected,” he mentioned. “It does feel kind of trapped and limited with these choices.”
One factor that inspired him was Harris’ collection of Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz as her working mate.
“I can kind of relate to him, he seems more like a regular person,” Ross mentioned. “He’s not saying the extreme stuff. I’d like to hear more from people like that in politics. I’d like a president who’s super smart and super boring.”
Very similar to 4 years in the past, Ross mentioned he appears like he’s voting for the lesser of two unhealthy selections on the prime of the ticket.
“I’m probably going to take the mainstream Democratic person,” he mentioned, “just to make sure Trump doesn’t get elected again.”
Paul Knapp, 77
Residence: Santa Fe
Occupation: tax prep enterprise proprietor
Who did you vote for in 2016? Donald Trump
Who did you vote for in 2020? Donald Trump
Paul Knapp is an unbiased voter with conservative leanings and although he doesn’t like how Trump behaves, he likes his insurance policies.
So for the final two presidential elections, Knapp held his nostril and voted for him.
This 12 months, Knapp was in search of another choice. He mentioned he’d contemplate voting for a conservative Democrat or some kind of reasonable Republican however that candidate didn’t seem. As a substitute, the Democrats selected Harris as their nominee and Knapp mentioned he can’t vote for her.
Knapp identifies Harris, a California Democrat, with “extreme socialism.”
“I’m a capitalist, so I can’t vote for her,” he mentioned.
He doesn’t like that she praised the “defund the police” motion in 2020 – her marketing campaign co-chairs have tried to stroll the latter assertion again since she turned the presumptive nominee.
Knapp additionally doesn’t like that in Harris’ presidential run in 2019, she promised to finish fracking, a platform she has backed away from since changing into the Democratic nominee however that will likely be a sticking level in fracking-heavy Texas.
“I really think her history tells us what she is. Unless she has some sort of epiphany,” he mentioned. “Maybe she’ll say ‘I thought about it and that was wrong, I learned my lesson on several of those things.’ We’ll have to see about that.”
However Knapp mentioned he wouldn’t have the ability to shake off the suspicion that Harris is barely strolling again these platforms to get elected.
He additionally mentioned he doesn’t like that Harris was chosen because the Democratic nominee with no single vote solid for her in an election. It reminds him of how political bosses used to pick out the presidential nominees in “smoke-filled back rooms,” he mentioned.
He narrowed down his selections to Trump and Robert F. Kennedy Jr. earlier than he bought out of the race. However Knapp had all the time regretted voting for Ross Perot in 1992 as a result of he felt Perot was solely within the race to spoil the election for Republican incumbent George H.W. Bush.
“I have held that against myself,” Knapp mentioned. “I helped in a negative situation and I helped the wrong guy.”
The method of elimination has left him with Trump, whose financial ends in workplace he loved, particularly when contrasted to what he views as “overspending” by the Biden administration. He thinks Trump will assist rein within the federal authorities’s spending, which is a significant concern for him.
“If I have to hold my nose and vote for him I’ll at least hope for that,” he mentioned.
Time is working out to get your TribFest tickets!
Be there Sept. 5–7 for 100-plus unforgettable conversations that includes greater than 300 audio system, together with Stacey Abrams, Colin Allred, Liz Cheney, Richard Linklater, Nancy Pelosi, Rick Perry, Gretchen Whitmer and Glenn Youngkin.