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Vice President Kamala Harris trails former President Donald Trump by 5 share factors in Texas, shaving off almost half the Republican nominee’s one-time benefit over President Joe Biden from earlier this 12 months, in response to a brand new ballot launched Thursday.
The survey, carried out earlier this month by the College of Houston’s Pastime College of Public Affairs, is among the many first to measure the place issues stand in Texas since Biden dropped his reelection bid final month. In June, the identical pollster discovered that Trump led Biden by almost 9 share factors.
The newest survey additionally recorded a 2-point lead for U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz over his Democratic challenger, U.S. Rep. Colin Allred — just about unchanged from the June ballot. Within the new survey, 46.6% of seemingly voters stated they intend to vote for the Republican senator, in comparison with 44.5% for Allred.
Allred, a Dallas Democrat serving his third time period in Congress, is seen as one in all his social gathering’s few legit hopes for flipping a GOP-controlled Senate seat, in a 12 months the place Democrats are largely taking part in protection throughout the Senate electoral battlefield.
Allred cited the ballot whereas addressing the Texas delegation Thursday morning on the Democratic Nationwide Conference, dismissing Cruz’s modest lead as inside the margin of error.
“This is a race that’s going to come down to the things that we do together over the next 75 days,” Allred stated. “I’m going to be giving you every single thing I’ve got.”
Cruz is up for reelection for the primary time since he defeated Democrat Beto O’Rourke by simply 2.6 share factors in 2018 — Democrats’ closest statewide margin in a long time.
On the presidential degree, unbiased voters appeared to drive a lot of the shift towards Harris: Trump now leads amongst that voting bloc by simply 2 share factors, down from a 24-point edge in June. Harris additionally gained floor amongst girls, who now favor her by a 6-point margin after narrowly backing Trump within the Pastime College’s earlier ballot.
Trump’s 4.9-point lead within the Pastime College’s newest ballot is much like the 5.6-point margin by which he carried the state over Biden in 2020.
Harris marketing campaign chair Jen O’Malley Dillon steered earlier this week that the marketing campaign doesn’t intend to make a lot of a play for Texas. She famous the excessive price of promoting within the state and steered it could divert sources from different extra intently contested states.
“At the end of the day, our responsibility as a presidential campaign is to ensure we get to 270 [electoral votes],” O’Malley Dillon stated, fielding viewers questions for an occasion on the Democratic Nationwide Conference. “I might like to get to a much bigger quantity than that, however that’s all we care about.”
Even when Democrats lose atop the ticket, a slim end result may enhance the social gathering’s candidates in important down-ballot races for Congress, the Texas Legislature and scores of native places of work. In 2018, when O’Rourke almost ousted Cruz, Democrats picked up 12 state Home seats and flipped two congressional districts, together with one the place Allred unseated a longtime GOP member of Congress.
Matthew Choi contributed to this report.
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