All through Joe Biden’s presidency, he leaned on the outspoken former prosecutor and senator he chosen as his vp, Kamala Harris, to be the White Home’s voice of unflinching help for reproductive well being rights.
Now, as Democrats rebuild their presidential ticket just some months earlier than Election Day, Harris would broadly be anticipated to take an aggressive stance in help of abortion entry if she grew to become the get together’s new presumptive nominee — hitting former President Donald Trump on a difficulty that might undermine his possibilities of victory. Biden endorsed Harris on Sunday when he introduced his resolution to go away the race.
Whereas Biden sought to maintain abortion middle stage in his reelection bid, abortion advocates had harbored doubts that the president — a training Catholic who has mentioned he’s not “big on abortion”— may very well be an efficient standard-bearer as Republican efforts erode entry to abortion and different girls’s well being care across the nation.
Harris, alternatively, grew to become the primary vp to go to a clinic run by the Deliberate Parenthood Federation of America. She undertook a nationwide tour targeted on reproductive rights. And when Sen. JD Vance of Ohio was named Trump’s working mate, Harris used her subsequent marketing campaign look to criticize him for blocking protections for in vitro fertilization.
“Most significantly, Harris would be the face of the drive to protect abortion rights,” Larry Levitt, government vp for well being coverage at KFF, a well being data nonprofit that features KFF Well being Information, mentioned in an interview earlier than Biden stepped apart. “Abortion access would likely be front and center in her campaign.”
A powerful stance on abortion just isn’t the one main distinction to the GOP that Harris gives: She is effectively versed in well being coverage. As a baby, Harris usually accompanied her mom to work on the weekends, visiting the lab the place she was learning breast most cancers.
Whereas working for president in 2019, she backed “Medicare for All,” a single-payer insurance coverage proposal that established her bona fides as a extra progressive voice on well being coverage. And as California’s lawyer common, she fought towards consolidation within the well being business over considerations it will drive up costs.
She stumped for a Biden administration rule setting minimal staffing ranges at federally funded nursing houses in April.
“She deserves credit, she’s talked about them on the campaign trail. I don’t see any change there in the priorities on what Democrats want to do on health care if she becomes the nominee,” mentioned Debbie Curtis, vp at McDermott + Consulting.
An intensified concentrate on girls’s well being and abortion might assist impress Democratic voters within the remaining dash to the election. For the reason that three Supreme Courtroom justices named by Trump helped overturn Roe v. Wade in 2022, public opinion has turned towards Republicans on abortion, even contributing to an unexpectedly poor displaying within the 2022 midterm elections.
Thirty-two p.c of voters mentioned they’d vote just for a candidate for a serious workplace who shares their views on abortion, in response to a Gallup Ballot carried out in Could. That’s a report excessive since Gallup first requested the query in 1992. Practically twice as many citizens who help abortion, in contrast with those that oppose abortion, maintain that view.
Sixty-three p.c of adults mentioned abortion ought to be authorized in all or most circumstances, based mostly on a ballot carried out in April by Pew Analysis Middle. Thirty-six p.c mentioned it ought to be unlawful in all or most circumstances.
Republicans, in flip, have been wanting to distance themselves from their very own victory on the difficulty. Trump angered some members of his base by saying he would depart selections on abortion to the states.
Regardless, advocates warning that the GOP’s new moderation-by-omission on the difficulty masks their precise, extra excessive stance. Vance has been clear up to now about his help for a nationwide abortion ban. And whereas the GOP platform adopted in the course of the get together’s conference final week could not explicitly name for a nationwide ban on abortion, get together leaders’ recognition of “fetal personhood,” the concept that as quickly as an egg is fertilized it turns into an individual with full authorized rights, would create such a ban robotically if the Supreme Courtroom discovered it constitutional.
These views stand in distinction to these of many Republicans, particularly girls. About half of Republican girls voters assume abortion ought to be authorized in all or most circumstances, in response to a latest nationwide survey by KFF. And majorities of ladies who vote Republican consider abortion ought to be authorized in circumstances of rape, incest, or a being pregnant emergency.
If Harris heads the ticket, she can be anticipated to hammer on these points within the coming months.
“It’s been one of if not the main issue she’s emphasized in the last year or two,” mentioned Matthew Baum, Marvin Kalb professor of world communications at Harvard College. “Clearly the Republicans are trying to defang the issue. It’s been a disaster for them.”
It’s doubtless, although, that Republicans would paint Harris’ views on abortion as extremist. In the course of the presidential debate towards Biden, Trump falsely claimedDemocrats help abortions late in being pregnant, “even after birth.”
Shortly after information broke that Biden had endorsed Harris, Susan B. Anthony Professional-Life America issued a press release calling out Harris’ report and providing proof of what’s to come back. “While Joe Biden has trouble saying the word abortion, Kamala Harris shouts it,” mentioned Marjorie Dannenfelser, the group’s president.
Some pollsters have mentioned Harris must do extra than simply marketing campaign towards Republican efforts to roll again abortion entry to actually encourage voters as a result of so many points, resembling inflation, the economic system, and immigration, are competing for consideration.
“She has to say she is running for a federal law that will bring back Roe v. Wade,” mentioned Robert Blendon, an emeritus public well being professor at Harvard College. “She needs something very specific and clear.”
Harris’ elevation to the highest of the ticket would come at a essential juncture within the struggle over reproductive rights.
The Supreme Courtroom heard two abortion circumstances within the time period that ended this month. However the justices didn’t tackle the deserves of the problems in both case, ruling as a substitute on technicalities. Each are anticipated to return to the excessive court docket as quickly as subsequent yr.
In a single case, difficult the FDA’s 2000 approval of the abortion capsule mifepristone, the justices dominated that the group of anti-abortion medical professionals who challenged the drug lacked standing to sue as a result of they failed to point out they have been personally injured by its availability.
However the Supreme Courtroom returned the case to the district court docket in Texas the place it was filed, and the GOP attorneys common of three states — Idaho, Kansas, and Missouri — have joined the case as plaintiffs. Whether or not the courts settle for the states as viable challengers stays to be seen, but when they do, the justices might quickly be requested once more to find out the destiny of the abortion capsule.
The different abortion-related case pitted a federal regulation requiring hospitals to offer emergency care towards Idaho’s strict ban, which permits abortions when a pregnant affected person’s life is in peril — however not in circumstances during which it’s crucial to guard her well being, together with future fertility.
In that case, the justices apparently failed to succeed in any majority settlement, declaring as a substitute that they have been untimely in accepting the case and sending it again to the decrease court docket for additional consideration. That case, too, might return in comparatively quick order.
Harris would even have substantial leeway to speak about what are thought of to be the Biden administration’s core well being coverage accomplishments. These embrace enhanced Reasonably priced Care Act tax credit aimed toward serving to shoppers get medical insurance protection, which have been prolonged via the Inflation Discount Act into 2025, the $35 month-to-month cap on copays some sufferers pay for insulin, and drug worth negotiation in Medicare.
“I think she is well positioned. She is core to the administration and will be able to take credit for those things,” mentioned Dan Mendelson, CEO of Morgan Well being, a subsidiary of J.P. Morgan Chase.
That mentioned, it could be onerous for any candidate to get voters to concentrate on a few of these accomplishments, particularly drug worth efforts.
Whereas the administration has taken some essential steps, “new expensive drugs keep coming out,” Mendelson mentioned. “So if you look at the perception of consumers, they do not believe the cost of drugs is going down.”
Joseph Antos, of the American Enterprise Institute, mentioned Harris would doubtless say the Biden-Harris administration “is already saving people money” on insulin. However she must transcend these accomplishments and double down on drug pricing and different value points — not discuss solely about reproductive rights.
“She’s got to concentrate, if she wants to win, on issues that have a broad appeal,” Antos mentioned. “Cost is one and access to treatments is another big issue.”
Samantha Younger of KFF Well being Information contributed to this report.
