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Republicans roll to victories in Senate: The place the races stand

Editorial Board
Editorial Board Published November 6, 2024
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Republicans roll to victories in Senate: The place the races stand
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Republicans roll to victories in Senate: The place the races stand

Senate Republicans loved a robust night time within the battle for almost all, successful management of the higher chamber and ending the night time with possibilities of working up the rating.

Republicans simply after midnight may very well be assured of getting 51 seats. The large victories got here in Ohio, the place Sen.-elect Bernie Moreno (R) defeated Sen. Sherrod Brown (D), and West Virginia, the place Gov. Jim Justice (R) will change Sen. Joe Manchin (I).

The social gathering additionally held serve in their very own seats. Sens. Ted Cruz (R) and Rick Scott (R) each gained handily in Texas and Florida, respectively, regardless of Senate Democrats making a large funding within the last six weeks. 

Sen. Deb Fischer (R) additionally defeated unbiased Dan Osborn in Nebraska to nab a 3rd time period in workplace after a last-minute scare within the Cornhusker State. 

Whether or not the GOP majority grows additional is dependent upon a sequence of different races.

Right here’s a have a look at the important thing outcomes, together with contests by which no winner has been referred to as.

Ohio 

This was the race that did the trick for the GOP to finish its four-year hiatus within the minority. 

Moreno defeated Brown, who had survived earlier challenges as Ohio turned from a purple state to a pink state, as former President Trump simply defeated Vice President Harris within the state by a double-digit margin.

The end result was not a shock, however was notable in a race the place Brown loved a polling lead for a lot of the autumn.

Moreno was in a position to nearly replicate Sen. JD Vance’s (R-Ohio) efficiency from two years in the past, when he gained his Senate race after trailing in polls a lot of the 12 months. Moreno, like Vance, took the lead within the last weeks.

Montana 

This will probably be a late name, as Montana’s polls closed at 10 p.m. However given the margins in Ohio and elsewhere on the map, the highway to a win for Sen. Jon Tester (D-Mont.) is a troublesome one. 

Political prognosticators gave Republican Tim Sheehy the benefit heading into Tuesday. 

If historical past is any indication, Tester’s victory in 2018 didn’t come till lunchtime on the Wednesday after Election Day. However a large Sheehy victory may change that.

Pennsylvania

Sen. Bob Casey (D-Pa.) goes to wish a comeback victory if he’s going to overhaul Republican David McCormick and win a fourth time period in workplace. 

It’s been a bleak night time for Democrats within the Keystone State as they path in not solely the presidential race, but in addition in races for state legal professional basic, auditor basic and treasurer. 

However Casey is the social gathering’s greatest likelihood to win. He has been outrunning Harris by between 90,000 and 100,000 votes, with Democrats seeing a path for him to overhaul McCormick, who’s main by round 70,000 votes. 

“That’s going to come down to the very wire. His slight overperformance might make all the difference,” stated one senior Pennsylvania Democrat. 

The remaining excellent votes are largely on Democratic terrain: Philadelphia and the town’s collar counties. 

Wisconsin

The Wisconsin race between Sen. Tammy Baldwin (D) and Republican Eric Hovde could be a photograph end.

Baldwin, like Casey, can also be outrunning Harris by roughly 50,000 votes, giving her a shot at successful even when Trump wins the state. She trails Hovde by about 60,000 votes as either side await extra votes to drop in a single day. 

The principle supply of these votes is Democrat-heavy Milwaukee, and they’re more likely to land round 3 a.m. EST, however whether or not they’re sufficient to hold Baldwin throughout the end line is in query. 

“There’s a real Tammy wins, Kamala loses scenario here,” one Wisconsin Democratic operative stated, noting that Baldwin has outrun Harris in some rural counties to present her a lift. 

Michigan 

Republicans are additionally within the lead in Michigan as former Rep. Mike Rogers (R) holds a bonus over Rep. Elissa Slotkin (D), however there are main variations within the state in comparison with Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. 

Chief amongst them is {that a} a lot bigger portion of the excellent vote stays within the Wolverine State, together with in Wayne County, a Democratic stronghold that features Detroit. 

Trump is working about 60,000 votes forward of Rogers, nevertheless it stays an extended night time forward till a name is made on the Senate facet. 

Nevada

One other race that may be a good distance away from being referred to as is in Nevada, the place Sen. Jacky Rosen (D) is making an attempt to safe a second time period in opposition to Republican Sam Brown. 

As of practically 1 a.m., no outcomes had been unveiled within the state, which had seen some tightening within the last moments of the marketing campaign.

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