Ret. Military Capt. Sam Brown seems to be closing the polling hole with incumbent Democratic Sen. Jacky Rosen in battleground Nevada with lower than two weeks till Election Day.
In a brand new survey, Rosen defeated Brown 49% to 44% amongst all voters, in response to a brand new AARP ballot.
Among the many key demographic of voters 50 years or older, Brown beat the Democrat 49% to 46%.
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The margin between Sam Brown and Jacky Rosen seems to be shrinking. (Reuters)
The brand new ballot, which signifies a detailed race, comes after some expressed issues over the Republican’s place behind Rosen in latest surveys. Whereas many Republican candidates in essential states had already improved their stature in opposition to incumbent Democrats, Brown was nonetheless shedding to Rosen by vital margins.
In a late August ballot from CNN, Rosen was main Brown by a full 10 factors, 50% to 40%. In a Fox Information Ballot throughout the identical month, the Democrat beat her opponent by much more, 55% to his 41%.
Earlier within the month, a New York Occasions and Siena Faculty Ballot had Rosen besting Brown 49% to 40%.
In the identical AARP survey that Brown has appeared to make positive factors in, former President Trump topped Vice President Kamala Harris within the swing state, 49%-47%, in a head-to-head contest. With different candidates, Trump nonetheless leads Harris 47% to 46%.
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U.S. Sen. Jacky Rosen and Jimmy Kimmel pose for a gaggle photograph as they thank volunteer employees at a Democratic coordinated marketing campaign canvass launch Oct. 21, 2024, in Las Vegas. (Ethan Miller/Getty Photographs)
“The huge gaps between the Senate and presidential races in these states were never realistic,” mentioned Kyle Kondik, managing editor of Sabato’s Crystal Ball on the College of Virginia Middle for Politics. “At the same time, Democratic Senate candidates have generally had better margins than Harris in almost every competitive state.”
In accordance with Kondik, there may be an “upside possibility” for Republicans within the state of affairs that Trump performs notably effectively.
“He could carry several GOP Senate candidates over the finish line,” he mentioned.
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Nevada Republican Senate candidate Sam Brown attends a Hispanic roundtable with former President Trump, the Republican presidential nominee, at Magnificence Society Oct. 12, 2024, in North Las Vegas. (Ethan Miller)
Nevada Republican strategist Jeremy Hughes mentioned, “Sam Brown has the momentum at the end of this race and is benefiting from a strong early vote performance by Republicans.”
Republicans have appeared to end up in bigger numbers than Democrats in Nevada’s early voting to this point, which is a departure from previous elections, in response to one veteran political journalist within the state.
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Whereas noting that Republicans have a bonus in early voting “at a time when the Ds usually have one,” Jon Ralston, the CEO and editor of The Nevada Unbiased, wrote. “If that gets larger, big trouble for Dems.”
Ralston additional advised Fox Information Digital, “It is a surprising, unprecedented turnout pattern in a presidential year.”
“Democrats have usually used early voting to bank votes, and the election is all but over by Election Day. Not this year. Mail ballots sent to everyone changes everything, and it also makes predictions very difficult.”
A Latinos for Trump occasion Oct. 3, 2024, in Las Vegas. (Hannah Ray Lambert/Fox Information Digital)
“Nevadans are surging to the polls because they know we can do better. There is incredible energy on the ground, and working Nevada families are rallying behind Sam Brown’s plan to lower prices, secure the border and make life affordable again. Nevadans have made it clear they are ready for a change, and the momentum is on our side,” Brown marketing campaign spokesperson Raegan Lehman mentioned in an announcement.
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A spokesperson for Rosen’s marketing campaign advised Fox Information Digital, “Nevada Senate races are all the time shut and aggressive, and our marketing campaign is taking nothing as a right.
“We’re confident that voters will ultimately re-elect Jacky Rosen, a bipartisan and independent problem solver who delivers for working families, and reject MAGA extremist Sam Brown, who wants to take away abortion rights, repeal the Affordable Care Act and gut Social Security and Medicare.”
Her marketing campaign moreover pointed to a late June ballot, additionally by the AARP, that confirmed Rosen and Brown equally 5 factors aside at 47% to 42%. Brown led Rosen with voters 50 and over by 49% to 44% on the time.
That ballot interviewed 1,368 possible voters in Nevada between June 12 and 18. It additionally had a margin of error of plus or minus 4 proportion factors for the pattern of voters total and plus or minus 3.5 proportion factors for the over 50-year-old pattern.
The brand new AARP ballot that confirmed the hole closing interviewed 1,368 possible voters from Oct. 8 to fifteen. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 proportion factors for the pattern of voters total and plus or minus 3.5 proportion factors for the over 50-year-old pattern.
Get the most recent updates from the 2024 marketing campaign path, unique interviews and extra at our Fox Information Digital election hub.
