A surprising new ballot claims Vice President Harris is main Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump by three factors in reliably conservative Iowa.
The ultimate survey of the 2024 race for the White Home from the famed Des Moines Register newspaper places the Democratic nominee at 47% over Trump at 44%, in what one pollster described as a “stunning reversal” for the Republican.
“It’s hard for anybody to say they saw this coming,” mentioned J. Ann Selzer, president of Selzer & Co, the corporate that carried out the ballot. “She has clearly leaped into a leading position.”
Trump held a 4 level lead over Harris in September in the identical ballot, and in June had a whopping 18 level lead over President Biden, earlier than the incumbent dropped out of the race.
The ballot of 808 probably voters was accomplished between Oct. 28 and Oct. 31, and had a margin of error of three.4%.
Nationwide polls have persistently put the 2 candidates at close to impasse.
Trump gained Iowa in each 2020 and 2016.
Girls and unbiased voters seemed to be driving the late flip towards Harris within the Hawkeye State, the pollster informed the outlet, with 56% of girls going for the vp and 52% of males supporting the GOP candidate.
Voters 65 and older are additionally backing the Democrat, with senior ladies going for Harris by a greater than 2-to-1 margin.
Greater than 553,000 voters have already solid ballots in Iowa, with 220,140 Republicans displaying as much as vote vs 219,085 Democrats, in keeping with the College of Florida’s Election Lab.