Are massive, showy marketing campaign rallies well worth the effort and time for presidential candidates?
A research of Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton’s 2016 rallies discovered that “Secretary Clinton’s visits in the later part of the campaign had a positive effect on her vote share in places she visited.”
That research discovered no comparable bump for her opponent Donald Trump. However a distinct research on the 2016 election discovered that “Trump’s rallies produced a short-lived increase in his support over Clinton (especially among leaning Republicans), intention to vote (especially among strong Republicans), and individual campaign contributions for him.”
Certainly, for an election that hinges on just a few thousand votes in simply six battleground states, there’s actual worth in holding giant political rallies. They generate on-the-ground enthusiasm, in addition to heaps of native media protection.
So with lower than 30 days to go earlier than the 2024 election, why is the Republican presidential nominee spending useful time in California, Colorado, and New York, of all locations?
Trump shall be in Aurora, Colorado on Friday; Coachella, California on Saturday; and Madison Sq. Backyard in New York Metropolis later this month.
Coachella is in Riverside County, not removed from the Mexican border. The desert metropolis is predominantly Latino, and its voters largely Democratic (just like the state as an entire).
Native leaders have made it clear that Trump is way from welcome, even dropping Kendrick Lamar lyrics to make the level clear.
“He has consistently expressed disdain for the type of diversity that helps define Coachella,” Mayor Steven Hernandez advised the Desert Solar. “We don’t know why Trump is visiting near Coachella, but we know he wasn’t invited by the people who live here. He ain’t like us.”
Trump’s marketing campaign claims the rally is a chance to assault his opponent Vice President Kamala Harris’ file as a California lawyer basic and senator.
“Under Kamala Harris and her dangerous Democrat allies like Tim Walz, the notorious ‘California Dream’ has turned into a nightmare for everyday Americans,” the marketing campaign mentioned when saying the occasion. “Californians are suffocating under rising prices for everything from groceries to housing, thanks to Kamalanomics.”
Different officers and Republican pundits declare the Coachella go to will assist Trump woo Latinos. And with the border close by, anticipate a wholesome dose of immigrant-bashing.
However … Trump might try this in swingy Arizona, the place the border can be adjoining and the Latino vote will really matter within the presidential race. In spite of everything, Harris doesn’t must go to Mar-a-Lago to criticize Trump.
With the excessive temperature predicted to succeed in 99 levels on Saturday, there’s a larger likelihood that Trump’s make-up will run within the oppressive warmth as sweat stains unfold throughout his armpits than of him touchdown any type of vital blow on Harris on the deliberate occasion. And if he can’t draw a crowd in that warmth, in the course of a desert, then the optics shall be significantly dangerous.
And Trump positive as heck ain’t Lana Del Rey, Unhealthy Bunny, or Billie Eilish.
Aurora, Colorado, is the town that Republicans declare has been overrun by Venezuelan gangs. Trump repeated the declare through the Sept. 10 presidential debate.
Satirically, this go to is an opportunity for Trump to see that it’s all a lie. Possibly he’ll comply with the lead of a neighborhood columnist who visited the city and the house constructing supposedly managed by vicious gang members, and as a substitute discovered tenants dwelling in squalor due to slumlords.
Given Trump’s personal previous as a slum landlord, a tour may even brighten his day.
Even the town’s Republican mayor questioned Trump’s deliberate go to, and urged him to right the file.
“Former President Trump’s visit to Aurora is an opportunity to show him and the nation that Aurora is a considerably safe city – not a city overrun by Venezuelan gangs,” mentioned Mayor Mike Coffman.
His go to and inflammatory language will certainly garner headlines and be the speak of conservative media. However once more: There are not any electoral votes to realize in blue Colorado. And once more, a marketing campaign rally’s worth isn’t within the ensuing protection on Newsmax or Fox Information, however in native media protection and motivating attendees to take part in get-out-the-vote efforts.
And a rally in Manhattan? Within the closing weeks of the marketing campaign?
It’s simply extra proof that as a lot as conservatives criticize and cry about New York Metropolis and different blue Democratic strongholds, Trump would a lot somewhat spend the day surrounded by liberals than within the Alabama area of Pennsylvania speaking to his precise supporters.
