A majority of People are optimistic in regards to the subsequent 4 years with Donald Trump, much more so than they had been in 2017 earlier than his first time period. And most are hopeful in regards to the coming 12 months.
That’s bolstered by People’ expectations for a great financial system in 2025 — greater than they presently price it — together with extensive perception amongst his voters that Trump will convey down grocery costs, make them financially higher off and convey extra peace and stability to the world.
All of it echoes lots of the causes Trump gained within the first place.
On this hyper-partisan period, although, optimism for incoming presidents isn’t fairly as excessive because it as soon as was. For Carter and Reagan, each Bushes, Clinton and Obama, CBS Information polling on the time confirmed greater optimism than both President Biden in 2021 or Trump at the moment enjoys. That’s largely as a result of lately, opposing partisans are much less prone to specific positivity.
Simply as financial views and inflation propelled Trump to a win, at the moment many People — particularly Trump’s voters — anticipate to be financially higher off.
And simply as inflation and the financial system had been prime points within the election, they’re far and away the highest issues they need Trump to prioritize now.
People are extra hopeful in regards to the coming 12 months typically than they had been at first of 2021, when the pandemic was nonetheless happening.
Trying abroad, extra suppose Trump will enhance peace and stability on the earth than lower it, and particularly, lower battle between Israel and its neighbors within the Center East.
(In distinction, simply over half look again now and say Mr. Biden’s insurance policies created extra battle there.)
Different potential coverage concepts
Most People are in favor of deportations of immigrants who’re within the nation illegally, as voters had been in the course of the marketing campaign, although not of utilizing the army to hold out deportations.
On a variety of different potential coverage concepts, issues are extra cut up. Ending birthright citizenship shouldn’t be extensively well-liked, and it solely divides Trump voters.
Individuals are not offered on the thought of shopping for Greenland. Most Trump voters would approve of it, however not universally, and it’s not a preferred thought past that.
It does shed an vital mild on how People suppose Trump thinks, although: a lot of them really feel he’s simply leveraging for a bigger negotiation.
On imposing tariffs on imported items, Trump’s voters overwhelmingly favor the thought (though they don’t essentially suppose this may convey down costs), whereas a slight majority of People general are opposed.
The thought of ending or decreasing DEI applications is strongly supported by his voters; the remainder of the nation is extra cut up.
Trying forward: Democrats and opposition
Nonetheless, most People say they’re involved in regards to the state of U.S. politics proper now, and that concern is highest amongst Democrats, whose ranks don’t look particularly activated proper now.
Many Democrats describe themselves as “demoralized,” together with being “exhausted” and “concerned” about U.S. politics when requested to decide on descriptors. Few say they’re even “interested.” Even fewer say they’re “motivated.”
They’re roughly cut up over whether or not they need congressional Democrats to search out frequent floor or oppose Trump at each flip now; probably the most liberal are probably the most opposed. After which they’ve some — although not rather a lot — of confidence that their congressional management can successfully oppose Trump after they disagree.
There’s additionally some sense amongst them of missed alternative as Mr. Biden departs: simply over half suppose Harris may have gained if Mr. Biden had stepped apart sooner.
Biden, in the meantime, exits with People evaluating his presidency as little as they ever have throughout his time period.
Trying forward alongside different demographic traces, a few of People’ outlook for the Trump administration follows a number of the contours of what occurred in November.
Trump made positive aspects over 2020 with youthful voters, and at the moment, younger People usually tend to voice optimism about him than are older People. (They’re additionally simply typically extra prone to voice optimism each time requested to look forward.) Trump did higher with males and made positive aspects with ladies, and at the moment each are optimistic, males particularly so.
Immediately, nearly 1 / 4 of the voters who backed Kamala Harris are optimistic now in regards to the subsequent 4 years with Trump, reflecting maybe some willingness for them to reevaluate him as soon as he takes workplace, one thing we frequently see with a shedding candidate’s supporters, not less than early on.
In all, extra People are pulling for the brand new administration to succeed, in comparison with only a few for it to fail. The ratio is way greater for desired success. That is just like the way it was for Joe Biden 4 years in the past, too. After which for a lot of, they are saying it merely will depend on what Trump tries to do.
This CBS Information/YouGov survey was performed with a nationally consultant pattern of two,174 U.S. adults interviewed between January 15-17, 2025. The pattern was weighted to be consultant of adults nationwide based on gender, age, race, and schooling, based mostly on the U.S. Census American Group Survey and Present Inhabitants Survey, in addition to 2024 presidential vote. The margin of error is ±2.5 factors.
