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The Texas Reporter > Blog > Politics > What to anticipate in Nebraska on Election Day
Politics

What to anticipate in Nebraska on Election Day

Editorial Board
Editorial Board Published October 30, 2024
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What to anticipate in Nebraska on Election Day
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This story is a part of a sequence of state-by-state previews of the 2024 election.

Nebraska votes solidly Republican in statewide elections, however will nonetheless be carefully watched within the presidential race on Election Day. The rationale? It is one among two states—Maine is the opposite—that doesn’t award all of its Electoral Faculty votes to the winner of the statewide fashionable vote.

As a substitute, the statewide winner will get two of Nebraska’s 5 votes, whereas one vote goes to the winner in every of the state’s three congressional districts. Meaning Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris has a shot at selecting up an Electoral Faculty vote in her race towards Republican Donald Trump in a state final carried by a Democrat when Lyndon B. Johnson gained it in 1964.

If it occurs, she’ll most probably get that vote within the state’s 2nd Congressional District.

The district, which incorporates Omaha, backed a Democrat for the primary time in 2008 when its vote went to Barack Obama. It swung behind Republicans within the following two elections earlier than backing President Joe Biden in 2020. Omaha Democrats check with themselves as a “blue dot” in an in any other case crimson state.

Nebraska might additionally play a key position within the battle for Senate management. For the primary time since 1954, each of the state’s seats are up for election.

RELATED STORY: Folks with felonies can now vote in Nebraska—and it might tip the election

A particular election will determine who finishes the time period began by former Republican Sen. Ben Sasse, who left to turn into president of the College of Florida in 2023. Former Nebraska Gov. Pete Ricketts was appointed to the seat and is operating to complete the time period. Ricketts is challenged by Omaha activist Preston Love, a Democrat.

What to anticipate in Nebraska on Election Day
Republican Sen. Deb Fischer of Nebraska speaks to media on Oct. 18, 2023, on Capitol Hill in Washington.

Nationwide political teams have been pouring cash right into a heated race between Republican Sen. Deb Fischer, who’s looking for reelection, and impartial challenger Dan Osborn. A win for Osborn may not assist Democrats, nonetheless, as the previous union chief has stated he will not caucus with both occasion if elected.

RELATED STORY: Management of the Senate might come all the way down to a stunning crimson state race

The AP doesn’t make projections and can declare a winner solely when it has decided there is no such thing as a situation that will permit the trailing candidates to shut the hole. If a race has not been referred to as, the AP will proceed to cowl any newsworthy developments, similar to candidate concessions or declarations of victory. In doing so, the AP will clarify that it has not but declared a winner and clarify why.

Right here’s a take a look at what to anticipate within the 2024 election in Nebraska:

Election Day

Nov. 5.

Ballot closing time

9 p.m. ET.

Presidential electoral votes

5 whole, together with two awarded to the statewide winner and one every awarded to the winner of every of the state’s three congressional districts.

A sign supporting a ballot measure to expand abortion rights is seen in a yard, Friday, Oct. 18, 2024, in Omaha, Neb. (AP Photo/Margery Beck)
An indication supporting a poll measure to broaden abortion rights is seen in a yard, Friday, Oct. 18, 2024, in Omaha, Nebraska.

Key races and candidates

President: Harris (D) vs. Trump (R) vs. Chase Oliver (Libertarian) vs. Cornel West (Authorized Marijuana NOW) vs. Jill Stein (no occasion affiliation).

U.S. Senate (full time period): Fischer (R) vs. Osborn (no occasion affiliation).

U.S. Senate (unexpired time period): Ricketts (R) vs. Love (D).

2nd Congressional District: Tony Vargas (D) vs. Don Bacon (R).

Poll measures: Initiative 434 (prohibit abortion previous first trimester), Initiative 437 (legalize medical marijuana), Initiative 439 (proper to abortion).

Different races of curiosity

U.S. Home, State Legislature, Public Service Fee.

Previous presidential outcomes

2020: Trump (R) 59%, Biden (D) 39%, AP race name (statewide): Tue. Nov. 3, 2020, 9 p.m. ET.

Voter registration and turnout

Registered voters: 1,249,508 (as of Oct. 1, 2024). About 27% Democrats, about 49% Republicans, about 22% nonpartisan.

Voter turnout in 2020 presidential election: 75% of registered voters.

Pre-Election Day voting

Votes solid earlier than Election Day 2020: about 56% of the entire vote.

Votes solid earlier than Election Day 2022: about 39% of the entire vote.

Votes solid earlier than Election Day 2024: See AP Advance Vote tracker.

How lengthy does vote-counting take?

First votes reported, Nov. 3, 2020: 9:02 p.m. ET.

By midnight ET: about 71% of whole votes solid had been reported.

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