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The Texas Reporter > Blog > Politics > Why this authorities shutdown may very well be completely different—if it occurs
Politics

Why this authorities shutdown may very well be completely different—if it occurs

Editorial Board
Editorial Board Published March 13, 2025
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Why this authorities shutdown may very well be completely different—if it occurs
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Because the federal authorities hurtles towards a shutdown that will start at 12:01 AM ET on Saturday, some could also be questioning how a shutdown may influence the already fragile federal authorities.

When the federal government shuts down, federal staff are furloughed till Congress passes a spending invoice and the president indicators it.

In keeping with the nonprofit Committee for a Accountable Federal Price range, every federal company, together with the Workplace of Administration and Price range, creates a plan for what companies are deemed important throughout a shutdown, which determines which staff should proceed to point out as much as work and which keep house.

“The plan identifies which government activities may not continue until appropriations are restored, requiring furloughs and the halting of many agency activities. Essential services—many of which are related to public safety—continue to operate, with payments covering any obligations incurred only when appropriations are enacted,” the CRFB wrote. “In prior shutdowns, border protection, in-hospital medical care, air traffic control, law enforcement, and power grid maintenance have been among the services classified as essential, while some legislative and judicial staff have also been largely protected.”

Why this authorities shutdown may very well be completely different—if it occurs
Russ Vought, director of the Workplace of Administration and Price range

Nonetheless, The Washington Put up reported that the Trump administration has taken down steerage from the previous Biden administration in regards to the authorities’s plans throughout a shutdown. And on condition that President Donald Trump, co-President Elon Musk, and OMB Director Russ Vought are on a campaign towards the federal workforce, it is unclear whether or not they’d use a shutdown to inflict extra ache on authorities staff.

A federal regulation handed in 2019 says that federal staff should obtain again pay when the federal government reopens, whether or not or not they had been deemed important. However since taking workplace for the second time, Trump has been ignoring federal regulation as he sees match, so he may search to problem this.

In the end, Democrats argue that Trump and Musk have mainly shut down essential capabilities of the federal government already by cuts made by the so-called Division of Authorities Effectivity, and thus a shutdown would not have as a lot of an influence.

It is why nearly all Home Democrats voted towards the funding invoice that Republicans crafted with none Democratic enter and handed on Tuesday. Democrats wished assurances within the laws that Trump and Musk wouldn’t merely ignore the spending directives that Congress passes. Republican leaders even offered the invoice to its members by saying that the spending quantities laid out do not matter as a result of Trump and Musk will ignore them anyway.

UNITED STATES - FEBRUARY 27: Sen. Mark Warner, D-Va., speaks during a Senate Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs Committee confirmation hearing in Dirksen building on Thursday, February 27, 2025. The nominees who testified were Dr. Stephen Miran, to be chairman of the Council of Economic Advisors, Jeffrey Kessler, to be under secretary of Commerce for industry and security, William Pulte, to be director of the Federal Housing Finance Agency, and Jonathan McKernan, to be director of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call via AP Images)
Democratic Sen. Mark Warner of Virginia 

And it is why a variety of Senate Democrats say they won’t vote for it when it comes earlier than their chamber.

“I will be voting NO on the CR,” Sen. Mark Warner, Democrat of Virginia, wrote in a publish on X. “Virginians deserve more than letting Elon & Trump run wild through our government, slashing jobs and cutting services. Let’s pass a 30-day extension and get an actual deal done.”

Trump and Musk have canceled billions of {dollars} in authorities contracts, tried to minimize medical analysis grants, laid off 1000’s of federal staff, and even just about shuttered a federal company—even though Congress particularly funded these gadgets. The cuts have thrust the nation right into a constitutional disaster, with Trump seizing Congress’ energy of the purse and ignoring court docket orders to fund what Congress demanded.

The top of the American Federation of Authorities Staff, one in every of largest federal employee unions, mentioned that as a result of Trump and Musk mainly shuttered components of the federal government already, a shutdown wouldn’t have a significant influence. 

“With thousands of federal workers either fired, placed on administrative leave, or at immediate risk of losing their jobs, AFGE members have concluded that a widespread government shutdown has been underway since January 20 and will continue to spread whether Senators vote yes or no” on the Home-passed funding invoice, Everett B. Kelley, wrote within the letter obtained by Speaking Factors Memo.

For now, Senate Democrats are demanding that Republicans put a short-term, 30-day funding invoice on the ground in order that they’ll negotiate on a longer-term, bipartisan funding invoice with out having a shutdown. However Republicans are unlikely to conform to that proposal, elevating the chance that the federal government will certainly shut down.

To make sure, some Senate Democrats concern the politics of a shutdown, and for that purpose, they may vote sure on the funding invoice.

Nonetheless, the 2026 midterm elections are a lifetime away in political phrases.

Previous authorities shutdowns that Republicans pressured had little electoral influence on them.

For instance, Republicans shut the federal government down in October 2013 for 16 days, as Republicans waged a ridiculous effort to defund the Reasonably priced Care Act. Polling on the time confirmed {that a} majority of voters blamed Republicans for the shutdown, and that the stunt harm the Republican Get together’s picture. Nonetheless, a yr later, Republicans went on to win management of the Senate and lengthen their majority within the Home within the 2014 midterms.

In 2018, Trump pressured what grew to become one of many longest authorities shutdowns in historical past after he demanded funding for his border wall that he had at all times claimed Mexico would pay for. But Republicans did high quality in Home contests within the 2020 election.

“Senate Democrats are debating whether to vote for a bill that keeps Donald Trump and Elon Musk’s government open and prevents Congress from challenging Trump’s national sales tax. There are real substantive concerns about a shutdown, but Dems shouldn’t fear the politics,” Dan Pfeiffer, a former senior adviser to former President Barack Obama, wrote in a publish on X.

The countdown till 12:01 AM ET on Saturday ticks on.

 

Thanks to the Day by day Kos neighborhood who continues to struggle so exhausting with Day by day Kos. Your reader assist means the whole lot. We’ll proceed to have you ever coated and maintain you knowledgeable, so please donate simply $3 to assist assist the work we do.

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